A CNBC report on October 23 put fresh figures on the airline fuel squeeze. Data it attributed to the International Air Transport Association show global jet fuel up 113% since the Middle East conflicts began, to about $193 a barrel. IATA's June projection, cited in the same report, put 2026 fuel spending near $350 billion, or about 31% of airline operating costs.
The report says U.S. airfares are up nearly 23% from a year earlier since the U.S.-Iran conflict began. That is evidence of fare pass-through, not a new price list. American Airlines was described as growing third-quarter revenue nearly 20% and still posting a net loss of about $270 million because fuel costs jumped. An industry executive said airlines are set to lose $12 billion this year by absorbing fuel they cannot fully pass on. That is his claim, not a government total.
Observers in the report expect tickets to stay expensive next year as fuel hedges cover less of the bill. No carrier published a new fare sheet on October 23.
Could this fuel jump already be in a U.S. airfare? The reported rise of nearly 23% from a year earlier says much of it is already in fares. A ticket already purchased was not reported as repriced, and no future fare table was issued.
